So, Barack Obama won the Nobel Peace Prize. Has he done more than anyone else to promote peace in the world? No. Am I pleased that he won? Yes. Will the award have much of an effect in the world? I doubt it.
I think we lose sight of just how much the rest of the world hated and feared the Bush administration’s approach to foreign policy. Lots of loud, belligerent talk. And, when there was action, it was poorly thought through and betrayed a preference for force over persuasion.
What Barack Obama has accomplished is to win the Presidential election (no small achievement) and begin charting a different course on U.S. foreign policy. The ship is enormous and the change is consequently slow. Obama might not disengage from war or ultimately promote human rights as much as I would like, but the trajectory of the country’s approach to these things has changed. Obama won the election — something Bob Barr couldn’t do — and turned down the heat on the United States’ attitude toward the rest of the world — something John McCain wouldn’t do. Given the magnitude of the U.S. influence in the world, a small change in our foreign policy has a greater impact than more dramatic achievements in other contexts.
If I were awarding a Nobel, I would have looked elsewhere. But, the prize is most interesting as a sort of Rorschach test for domestic commentary. How you see the award depends almost entirely on your existing perception of Obama. From my side, you get the “probably he hasn’t earned it yet, but . . .” commentary. From the other side, you get the reverse of last week’s cheering about the U.S. not getting the Olympics. There was quite a bit of bemoaning that a particular worthy person didn’t get the prize, but the moaning was coming from people who generally don’t care in the slightest about who gets the prize. And, almost comically, I’ve seen a few attempts at “winning the Nobel Prize is the worst thing that could have happened to Obama.”